Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.590497 4.298061 5.088426 6.033783 7.130674 8.360100 9.839061
2025-07-06 2.554572 3.449602 4.555512 6.010352 7.860204 10.118955 13.068954
2025-07-13 2.073466 3.090649 4.454255 6.388137 9.027203 12.465139 17.237494
2025-07-20 1.694083 2.754268 4.279782 6.586405 9.925917 14.514342 21.206542
2025-07-27 1.451629 2.547652 4.225000 6.904294 10.981824 16.838126 25.733758
2025-08-03 1.197215 2.262159 3.990799 6.898489 11.533518 18.466769 29.394117
2025-08-10 0.955007 1.941915 3.639421 6.641547 11.644268 19.421170 32.109612
2025-08-17 0.770271 1.681265 3.337362 6.408022 11.740827 20.330087 34.793639
2025-08-24 0.654792 1.524812 3.187645 6.403850 12.197201 21.822401 38.481083
2025-08-31 0.562945 1.395248 3.063821 6.422315 12.681777 23.384406 42.380532
2025-09-07 0.477421 1.259969 2.905401 6.350188 12.988068 24.658215 45.880392
2025-09-14 0.386236 1.090721 2.649355 6.050785 12.837465 25.118647 48.017043
2025-09-21 0.329978 0.992898 2.530506 6.016405 13.195368 26.528957 51.952283
2025-09-28 0.281840 0.903830 2.415852 5.974706 13.533637 27.930899 55.979587
2025-10-05 0.266076 0.897170 2.488591 6.344527 14.730693 31.013048 63.256212
2025-10-12 0.241680 0.860457 2.483538 6.539691 15.585260 33.506277 69.606501
2025-10-19 0.225985 0.845425 2.529130 6.854979 16.719577 36.615660 77.302704
2025-10-26 0.197288 0.782914 2.443055 6.849019 17.160296 38.391479 82.568064
2025-11-02 0.162920 0.691821 2.264522 6.593648 17.022727 38.994293 85.594566
2025-11-09 0.134970 0.613424 2.105206 6.361594 16.908802 39.627590 88.708525
2025-11-16 0.118304 0.570365 2.038506 6.357443 17.317896 41.370896 94.140915
2025-11-23 0.104429 0.533493 1.983286 6.375788 17.780337 43.256013 99.969758
2025-11-30 0.090162 0.490097 1.899509 6.304122 18.016164 44.665677 104.896416